4 1 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1387 206 Strength Momentum |
1143 69.6(1) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/25/15 | Rio Grande | 0.002 | 936 | W 5- 0 | Expected (0) | 1404 | 92% | |
08/27/15 | Sandia | 0.005 | 1114 | T 2- 2 | Worse (-3) | 1241 | 82% | |
08/29/15 | Cleveland | 0.007 | 1414 | W 3- 2 | Better (+1) | 1441 | 50% | |
09/02/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.014 | 1399 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1452 | 46% | |
09/04/15 | at La Cueva ?? | 0.016 | 1218 | L 0- 3 | Worse (-4) | 1161 | 70% | |
09/10/15 | Hope Christian | 0.044 | 1009 | W 2- 0 | Expected (-2) | 1289 | 89% | |
09/11/15 | Los Alamos | 0.051 | 1257 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1413 | 69% | |
09/12/15 | Farmington | 0.052 | 1173 | W 3- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1421 | 77% | |
09/15/15 | Los Alamos !! | 0.040 | 1257 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+5) | 1616 | 69% | |
09/17/15 | at Atrisco Heritage | 0.101 | 1338 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1472 | 54% | |
09/19/15 | at Rio Rancho | 0.139 | 1418 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1462 | 44% | |
09/26/15 | at Albuquerque | 0.279 | 1399 | W 1- 0 | Better (+1) | 1452 | 46% | |
10/03/15 | Highland | 0.046 | 845 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1626 | 96% | |
10/06/15 | at Grants | 0.039 | 638 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1542 | 99% | |
10/08/15 | St. Pius | 0.295 | 1010 | W 7- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1493 | 89% | |
10/13/15 | Moriarty ! | 0.122 | 904 | W 9- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1600 | 94% | |
10/15/15 | Grants | 0.081 | 638 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1523 | 99% | |
10/17/15 | Farmington | 0.863 | 1173 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1370 | 77% | |
10/22/15 | at Moriarty | 0.252 | 904 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+2) | 1511 | 92% | |
10/24/15 | at St. Pius | 0.753 | 1010 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1358 | 86% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Albuquerque Academy actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1143, while
Albuquerque Academy's "weighted playing strength" is 1425
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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